The Phillies are relevant again. With that, people are hanging on every win and loss (and being Philadelphia fans, hanging more on the latter than the former). After every loss, a deluge of posts erupts from the geyser of bad takes that is the Phillies Official Facebook Group (which I am not-so-proudly a member of). … Continue reading 2019 Phillies Week 5: April Games DO Matter
On April 8th, the Phillies were 7-2. Their playoff odds peaked at 62.2%, the highest their odds have been in April going back to 2014. The pitching? Adequate. The offense? Rolling. The team, in short, looked unstoppable. Plot twist- they were stoppable. Since their hot start, the Phillies have recorded a not-so-nice 6-9 record. The … Continue reading 2019 Phillies Week 4: Don’t Panic
Hello, Phillies fans. Generally, I use this space to talk about some weird statistical quirk or outlier that involves one of our beloved phightins. I started down that usual path, but stopped when I saw that history was made this week. Dubious history, but history nonetheless. Chris Davis is hitless in 53 straight at-bats, which … Continue reading 2019 Phillies Week 2: The Sad Tale of Chris Davis
What. An. Offseason. The Phillies ended 2018 with an 80-82 record - their most wins since 2012, but still a disappointment given how hard they slumped in September. Even with that improved outlook, they had several concerns- Rhys Hoskins was an unmitigated disaster in left field. Despite solid power and defense, Jorge Alfaro approach at … Continue reading 2019 Phillies Preview
I don't want to say the Phillies have had a disappointing season. They are, after all, on pace to win 83 games - a 17-win improvement over last season, and their first winning season since 2011. Even with the Phillies future looking brighter, I just can't shake this disappointment. Perhaps I had unreasonable hopes after … Continue reading Week 24: Pitching or Offense, Seldom Both
Rhys "The Beast" Hoskins has had a roller coaster of a season. After a stretch in which he was arguably the best hitter in baseball, it seemed like the only thing he could hit was the skids. The days turned to weeks and still there was no end in sight for the slump. Adding injury … Continue reading Week 11 and 12: The Return of the Beast
Just a couple of weeks ago, I wrote that the Phillies offense hadn't slumped thanks to a rotating cast of contributors. Since then, the offense has entered total free fall mode. Time makes fools of us all...just not usually so quickly (While I'm at it, other things that haven't happened yet - Aaron Nola perfect … Continue reading Week 10: Something is Broken
I could write about the recent struggles of Rhys Hoskins. The man who looked unstoppable to begin the season has come down to earth quite a bit, and there's a lot that I could unpack there. But I won't. Because as much as Hoskins carried the team to begin the season, the team hasn't missed … Continue reading Week 8: The Phillies Offense Has Not Slumped
Two things happened when Carlos Santana was signed to a three year deal. The line up got better. The outfield defense got worse. Although #1 has yet to come to fruition, #2 has already proven to be true. The ever-evolving and always excellent MLB Statcast uses batted ball data to determine "catch probability" (how likely … Continue reading Week 5: It was the best of fielders, it was the worst of fielders.
The Phillies have a good record. Did they earn it?